Severe Storms this evening and through Wednesday morning

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Today's forecast:

Jackson, MS-------High 59 Low 61

~Jackson, MS

Currently~as of 10:10a.m.
A good Tuesday to you all and I hope each and every one of you are doing well. Yesterday, we were mostly dry and free from any lingering showers left from Sunday. We also warmed up just a bit as we got up to 58 degrees for our high around Jackson. Today, we are starting off very moist and on the wet side of things as rain has once again return back into our forecast. Observing satellite images earlier today, we are definitely under some immense cloud cover with a rather large stratus deck covering the skies. I don't think we'll see much of the sun today with all of the cloud cover that we are underneath. Expecting rain for much of the day with severe storms later this evening and moving into tomorrow.

What's Happening Atmospherically

Models shows precipitation throughout the entire day today, so it is going to be a wet day for the most part. Surface analysis maps show a warm front moving across the region providing moisture ahead of what will eventually become a cold front moving the LA and MS corridors. These two elements are really going to provid lots of moisture and precipitation throughout MS and throughout Jackson. Due to the excess rain, a flash flood watch will be issued and it remains in effect from 6p.m. to Wednesday morning. This flash flood watch will issued for the northeast portion of Louisiana and Mississippi. This is also taking into consideration the amount of rainfall that fell this past weekend and with the addition of more rain this evening this could potentially cause flooding problems. The potential for heavy rain is highest across portions of southeastern Mississippi where rainfall totals during the entire event could exceed 4 inches or more.

Interesting enough will be the temperatures today. Lows tonight will actually be warmer than our highs for today despite not having the sun warming up the environment at night. The reason being is because of the cold front that will swing through here later tonight and we're going to have some strong southwest winds pouring into the area. It is always typically warmer ahead of a cold front, so instead of cooling down tonight conditions will actually warm up. That is why I didn't have the highs and lows down for local cities around Mississippi like I normally do just because I didn't want to confuse you all as to why lows were higher than the highs.

On top of the flash flooding, we could some isolated to scattered severe thunderstorms pass through this evening into Wednesday morning. The main threat of severness will come later tonight. These storms will be capable of producing hail the size of quarter, have excess winds of 60 miles per hour, and could possibly produce tornadoes although since we're under alot of clouds I think that will limit the make-up of a tornado forming. We need for the sun to come out and give us plenty of energy in order to have anything sort of a tornado to form. So basically the forcing mechanisms for convective development is not all there yet. However, if we get some sort of a capping inversion with some type of forcing then this should result in thunderstorm development. The Storm Prediction Center at this time has a moderate risk of severe thunderstorms in parts of La and southern MS. This is certainly an area to pay close attention to as a tornado or two could form in this area. For those of you living in southern MS, be sure to pay close attention to your local weather news and have your noaa radio on for any updates.


Wednesday
By Wednesday afternoon and evening, most of the rain will clear off and we should return back into our quiet weather pattern. After Thursday, our next chance for rain will probably come the following Monday. For now, be sure to stay updated with your local weather station and be sure to check back in to Face of the Sky as I will have updates if anything breaks out. Thanks for viewing your Face of the Sky forecast! Stay dry and God bless!