Wednesday, February 9, 2011

Snow Today, Warming Trend Later

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Today's forecast:
Jackson, MS-------High 42 Low 22

Starkville, MS-----High 43 Low 20

Meridian, MS------High 49 Low 25

Vicksburg, MS-----High 41 Low 22

Greenwood, MS----High 38 Low 18

Tupelo, MS--------High 36 Low 23

Hattiesburg, MS---High 56 Low 29

Pascagoula, MS----High 56 Low 36




~Jackson, MS

Currently~as of 6:45a.m.
A good Wednesday to you all and I hope all is well. Early this morning we are starting off very cool as temperatures are in the lower 30s currently. With an east wind at 10mph, it really makes the wind chill feel more like in the lower 20s. Currently, we are still able to see glimpses of the sun as for the most part it is partly cloudy skies right now. Enjoy the bit of sun if your up this morning as mostly cloudy conditions will move into area as we progress into the afternoon. As I stated yesterday, snow will make a return today especially for tonight but after today I do have good news for all of you warm weather folks. Allow me to tell you all about it.

What's Happening Atmospherically
The reason for today's upcoming winter weather is due to a shortwave trough which will approach from the west into the Southern region. Along with the trough, we will tap into some cold Arctic air and with the right timing we will see accumulating snow throughout the upper and central areas of Mississippi. The majority of the Arkansas region and some parts of Oklahoma will receive heavy amounts of snow with over four inches of snow possible in AR. Could we see anything close to that amount?? Well, its possible especially around in NW Mississippi and around the Delta. As this system continues eastward, it will steadily lose all of its moisture so that is why here in Jackson we will not see anything near four inches.

Models are in very good agreement in the timing of this system. It should arrived around mid to late afternoon with precipitation falling around that time as well. In the Jackson area, we will start off with a bit of rain before it switches to snow. Bufkit data depicts the change-over happening around 7p.m. How long it stays snowing will just depend how fast this system wants to move out of MS as well as the amount of moisture within it. For Jackson, I think we'll see more of mix between snow and freezing rain. Observing Bufkit files and QPF, I don't see a lot of accumulation going on with this system. I think you'll able to notice snow along grassy areas but as far as snow on roads I don't think we'll have that much accumulation. I'm looking at anywhere from 0.2" to 0.5" in accumulations. Towns farther north like Starkville, snow accumulations have been on the decline it seems like everyday. Right now, Starkville could see anywhere from 0.2" to 0.3" in accumulations. It was much higher yesterday, but I believe this system is producing less and less precipitation and moisture therefore affecting snow amounts. Still some areas up north could still see anywhere between 1-3". The system should be out of the area by early Thursday morning. This is a continuing story, so I'll have updates throughout the day.

Now, because of this system we do have a Winter Storm Warning and Winter Weather Advisory in effect this afternoon and tonight. The Winter Storm Warning will be in effect from 3p.m. this afternoon and end around midnight. Watch for roads to be slippery and even some roads iced over due to this storm.

Today
A chance for snow later this evening for Jackson. We'll start off with rain but then quickly switch to snow. This should last for a brief period and should be over with by midnight. I'm not expecting much accumulation with this, but you will probably see patches of snow in grassy areas. Highs will rise into the lower 40s before taking a drop in temperature around 32 as the evening hours approaches. Strong winds out of the east at 10 to 15 mph.

Tonight
A brief period of snow and mostly freezing rain after midnight. Lows in the lower 20s with cloudy conditions. Strong winds will continue overnight from the north at 10 to 15mph and even gusting to 30mph at times.

Thursday's outlook
Although it will be sunny, tomorrow will also very cold with temperatures only making it into the upper 30s. With northwest winds between 5-10mph, it could make conditions feel like the upper 20s.

Long-term
After Thursday, we will start a warming trend which will give us Spring-like temperatures especially for Sunday. We will also be dry throughout that period and for Sunday we could be looking at temperatures in the mid 60s!

Full discussion on that tomorrow, so please be sure to join me here once again for your Face of the Sky forecast. God bless!

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