Slight Risk of Severe Storms for Thursday

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Today's forecast:
Jackson, MS-------High 67 Low 47

Starkville, MS-----High 62 Low 38

Meridian, MS------High 67 Low 43

Vicksburg, MS-----High 63 Low 49

Greenwood, MS----High 59 Low 43

Tupelo, MS--------High 59 Low 34

Hattiesburg, MS---High 72 Low 49

Pascagoula, MS----High 72 Low 49




~Jackson, MS

Currently~as of 7:05a.m.
Hi and I hope everyone is doing wonderful on this nice Tuesday. Currently, temperatures are in the mid 50s right now. We had cloudy skies throughout the night in the Jackson Metro area and that helped to keep temperatures out of the 40s. We didn't see any type of rain yesterday from the cold front that swung through. Even though it did not bring any type of moisture into the region, it was the reason for the cloudy conditions last night and will be the primary reason for cooler temperatures today. Also, we may have our next chance for rain this coming Wednesday evening and Thursday and it could come along by way of severe weather.

What's Happening Atmospherically
A cold front is going to stall across the MS region partially for today and this cold front will bring slightly cooler highs back into our forecast. The map to the left shows a cold front at the hour of 7:45 this morning. Temperatures behind the front are in the lower 50s, while temps in front of it are in the 60s. This sets us up into seeing varing temperatures throughout MS as cooler temperatures to our north and warmer temperatures in the south. We will have between a 5-10 degree drop in our high temperatures today as this front continues to push southward. Highs will only stay in the 60s. Clouds should hang around until the afternoon and by then we'll see more and more of the sun as the afternoon progresses. The front should be completely out by tonight.

For tonight, a ridge of high pressure will begin to build back in into our region moving in from the east. Now, as we get into Wednesday a warm front will push through from the southwest and will bring Gulf moisture along with 70 degree temperatures back to the South. The chart to the right shows warm front coming out of the southwest and located in the central part of MS by Wednesday evening. From this warm front, there will be a chance for light precipitation on Wednesday night although it will not be anything significant. Don't be surprise of a few sprinkles.

It's ironic that we could have potential severe weather on Thursday here in Jackson because this week being our Severe Weather Awareness week. You may even get to use some of the practical tips. There is still some discrepancy between models as to the timing of severe storms and makeup of key ingredients. Even though there are some disagreements amongst models, everything still points to a slight risk of severe weather for Thursday. According to the SPC (Storm Prediction Center) Day 3 Outlook, most of the severe storms will occur in eastern Oklahoma, eastern Arkansas, and southern Missouri, northern Mississippi and Alabama, and into the Tennessee and Ohio valley. Its due to a potent shortwave trough traveling from the plains by early evening on the surface. The shear profiles already favors supercells and bowing structures and anytime you have strong shear profiles like these, it is usually condusive for tornadoes. Later today and especially tomorrow, models should have a better grasp on the ingredients and timing of this. As far as the Jackson area though, we will definitely have rain and possibly a few severe storms that may through. I'll keep you inform as much as I can in the next 48 hours.

Today
A 10 degree difference in temperatures as highs today will remain in the 60s compared to highs yesterday around Jackson coming one degree short of 80 degrees. Cloudy for the start of today and by the early afternoon we should see more glimpses of the sun and settle into a mostly sunny day. Winds will come out of the northwest at 5-10mph.

Tonight

Cloud coverage kept us from falling into the 40s last night but it looks like tonight we will drop into the upper 40s. We'll have partly cloudy skies on hand with winds at first from the northeast at 5mph but then becoming east southeast.

Long-term

Severe weather for Thursday with more severe weather next week. Yep, we are getting into that time of season again. Stay tuned and God bless!